Advertisements

How unlikely was Marquette’s win at Providence?

By now, I’m sure you’ve gotten your fill of Markus Howard articles, and lost in the (much deserved) hoopla, was just how stunning Marquette’s win actually was. No, Providence wasn’t a title contender and uber favorite, and it was missing one if it’s best players, but just based on the pure numbers, it was one of the 6 most unlikely victories in the past 8 years. 

I took to KenPom and went through all of the box scores for the Win Probablility charts since the 2010 season looking for games Marquette won where it had less than a 5% chance of winning at any point. Here they are:

At Providence 1/3/18, 3.1%

Prov 1.JPG

Vs. Villanova 1/24/17, 1.1%

Nova.JPG

At Providence 1/5/2016, 4.6%

Prov 2.JPG

 At Georgetown 1/20/2014, 3.8%

Hoyas.JPG

At Davidson 3/21/13, 4.6%

Davidson.JPG

Vs. UConn, 1/3/2013, 3.0%

UConn.JPG

I’m not sure what it is about January, but 5 of the 6 fall in the Year’s opening months. All in all, the win on Wednesday was Marquette’s 3rd most unlikely win of the past 8 years. 

Advertisements

Tags: , , , ,

Categories: Analysis, Home

Subscribe

Subscribe to our RSS feed and social profiles to receive updates.

No comments yet.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s